Spanberger Opens Early lead in Virginia Governor’s Race

Many in Virginia are feeling adverse effects from the Felon's and DOGE's large scale firings of federal workers and under the falsely name "big beautiful bill," many Virginians could end up losing health care coverage.  Add to that rising prices caused by the Felon's tariffs, and most Virginians will find themselves worse off with whatever small tax cuts they might receive overwhelmed by higher consumer prices.  What better way to show Virginia's displeasure with the Felon and his white supremacist, anti-diversity agenda than to have Virginia Democrats lead by Abigail Spanberger rout Republicans in November's statewide elections.  True, the GOP ticket deserves defeat - an expansion of Democrat's hold on the General Assembly would be welcomed too - given its agenda to take Virginia further backwards in time. As for Winsome Sears, one can only hope that her extremism - she has said the Felon was "sent by god," she wants a complete ban on abortion and is stridently anti-LGBT - gets underscored and that it proves to be a drag on the other GOP candidates.  Both Politico and The Hill are reporting that Spanberger and the other Democrat statewide candidates leading in polls.  The downside is that many are still undecided and there is always the fear that Democrat supporters will be complacent and fail to vote, assuming the Democrat ticket is destined to win.  Here is this from Politico:

Former Rep. Abigail Spanberger, the Democratic nominee for governor of Virginia, maintains a double-digit lead over her Republican opponent, according to a new poll from Virginia Commonwealth University.

The survey, conducted between June 19 and July 3, found that 49 percent of registered voters support Spanberger, with 37 percent saying they would vote for GOP Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears if the election were held today. That’s an even bigger lead than Spanberger enjoyed in Commonwealth’s December poll, which had Earle-Sears trailing her by 10 percentage points.

The poll also found that the cost of living continues to dominate as voters’ top concern, with reproductive rights and immigration also ranking high among Virginians’ priorities. Spanberger, who represented Virginia’s 7th Congressional District from 2019 to 2025 after serving in the CIA, is leaning into the issue by touting an “Affordable Virginia Plan” that lays out her vision for lowering housing, energy and health care costs.

The centrist Democrat enjoys an even wider lead among young voters, with respondents aged 18-24 years old siding with the Democrat by a margin of 31 percentage points. Her campaign also outraised Earle-Sears’ by more than $4 million in the last three months, raking in over $10 million between April and June, according to a report filed Tuesday with the Virginia State Board of Elections.

As for the rest of the statewide tickets, The Hill has this:

The poll’s results out of the lieutenant gubernatorial race and the attorney general race mirrored the governor’s race results. In the lieutenant governor’s race, state Sen. Ghazala Hashmi (D) leads conservative talk show host John Reid 46 percent to 36 percent, while in the attorney general race, former state Del. Jay Jones (D) Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares 47 percent to 38 percent. 

However, roughly half of independents in all three matchups said they were undecided. 

Most polling out of the governor’s race so far shows Spanberger with an advantage over Earle-Sears. A Roanoke College survey released in May showed Spanberger with a wide 43 percent to 26 percent lead, with 28 percent of voters saying they were undecided. However, another May poll released by the business group Virginia FREE showed Spanberger leading by 4 percentage points.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the race as lean Democratic. 

Personally, I would love to see a Democrat landslide.