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I think it's important, as the age of U.S. unipolarity ends, for American conservatives to see the world in terms of an international society and not just a Hobbesian, dog-eat-dog system. . . . . The reason it is especially important now for Americans to recognize the societal dimension of international life is that America is in decline.
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That's not a statement of opinion and is not intended to suggest that America's current economic malaise is permanent, because that probably isn't the case. But no matter how strongly the U.S. bounces back, it is a mature economy and unlikely ever to match China's growth rates. China also has a much larger population, so it can overtake the American economy even while its citizens remain much poorer; by some measures, China is already the world's largest economy.
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If you're thinking America has previously faced down a peer competitor (the Soviet Union) and won handsomely, keep in mind that China is already a much larger economic force that Soviet Russia ever was, and that China is not done yet. Nor is India, or Indonesia. In fact, the "great convergence" between developed and developing economies is the economic and strategic story of our age.
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[I]n the multipolar order to come, international society will be far more important to the U.S.
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[I]nternational political life has its own laws, institutions, traditions and norms, which can be knitted together into a loose "constitutional" order. In an environment where one great power is rising and another is in decline (a situation that, historically, almost always creates conflict), such an order will be far more convivial than one marked by a naked contest of power. And given that traditions and institutions, by definition, take generations to establish, the U.S. cannot begin building them soon enough.
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Now, if there are any conservatives left reading this post, they may well be thinking that this all sounds rather ... well ... progressive. In my next post, I want to explain why conservatives can't just dismiss this as a lefty CINO (conservative-in-name-only) plot.
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A refusal to accept objective reality be it in the realm of economics, international relations or societal change is a hallmark of today's GOP and its Christianist and Tea Party allies. Ignoring the truth doesn't somehow magically make it untrue. Proper change in policies and institutions can only prosper when one is willing to recognize objective fact - something the GOP no longer even pretends to do as it panders for short term gain with no view to the future.
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