Donald Trump may have locked up the white Christofascists and white supremacist (in my view, the two are nearly synonymous) vote through blatant racism, but some research suggests that moderate whites may be turned off by Trump's odious racism. True, what voters do in the secrecy of the voting booth may differ from research results, but the findings are encouraging and suggest that whites as a whole are less racist than Trump believes. Salon has a piece that looks at this issue. Here are excerpts:
Over the past few weeks, there has been been renewed discussion about Donald Trump’s past racism and the racism that has persisted throughout his campaign. Trump and his father were sued by the Department of Justice for refusing to rent apartments to black people. He has said, in private, that he , “Laziness is a trait in blacks. It really is; I believe that.” He also for the execution of the Central Park Five, all of whom were later declared innocent (afterwards, he said they were During his campaign, Trump has regularly engaged in racist rhetoric. He engaged in a on Judge Gonzalo Curiel, the judge overseeing the lawsuit against Trump University. Trump to the “white genocide” hashtag (a white supremacist hashtag). He has frequently referred to Elizabeth Warren as
[M]any have dismissed the idea that Trump’s racism will do anything other than help him among whites. However, my analysis of ANES 2016 suggests that Trump’s racism may be extreme enough to alienate not just voters of color, but also moderate whites.
Many commentators have correctly noted that Trump’s racist comments hurt him among people of color. and have widely rejected Trump, and in one Ohio poll, Trump among African-Americans. Among harder-to-poll Spanish-speaking Latinos, Trump’s than 11 percent. Trump may well win an even smaller share of the non-white vote than Republicans normally win (Romney won just 17%
We find that Trump support among white Independents is very low among respondents with racial resentment of .5 or less (the scale goes from 0 to 1 and the mean resentment for whites is slightly above .6). Trump support among white Independents and white Republicans is indistinguishable at both low and high levels of resentment, but at the levels of resentment towards the middle (.4 to .8), white Independents are significantly less likely to support Trump than white Republicans. At around average (middle) levels of resentment, there is a higher probability of Clinton support among Independents, compared to Trump.
While the results are significant, there is a good deal of uncertainty regarding the magnitude of the effect. However, the results do suggest that Trump’s racism could alienate some white and racially liberal Independents. It’s also likely he will be hurt more when his past racism is more widely