Give
PresidentTrump this much: He has finally realized that the 2020 election will be lost and won in the suburbs. The question is whether his realization comes too late.In recent weeks, Trump claimed that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden wants to “abolish the suburbs,” tweeted that he would preserve the American Dream for “Suburban Housewives of America” and bragged that his repeal of Obama-era housing regulations intended to prevent segregation would prevent suburbanites from being “bothered or financially hurt by having low income housing built in your neighborhood.”
It’s another step to stoke racial anxiety, this time among voters who moved leftward in the 2018 midterms and will be crucial in November. Other Republicans have tried it in cycles past. But the scare-the-suburbs tactic has flaws in 2020. First, demographics. These communities are no longer all-White bastions where fathers work and mothers stay home with the children. These neighborhoods are racially diverse: According to a 2018 study, only 68 percent of suburbanites were White, 14 percent were Hispanic and 11 percent were Black. And no matter where they live, Pew Research Center found that the share of mothers who stay home with children declined from 49 percent in 1967 to 27 percent in 2016. The audience Trump believes he’s targeting — White stay-at-home suburban moms — may be smaller than he thinks.
Playing the race card is more likely to backfire now than in any time in a generation. . . . . According to YouGov, 50 percent of suburbanites think Biden would be better at handling race relations than Trump, and only 28 percent prefer Trump to Biden. And though it’s too early to tell whether this is a fad or a permanent trend, some suburbs may move left as city-dwellers, some of whom fear disease, have fled urban covid-19 hotspots.
Finally, Trump’s suburban pitch is off-key in an election dominated by the coronavirus. According to Gallup’s long-running “Most Important Problem” survey, concern about economic issues is at an all-time low, despite the economic impact of the pandemic.
As of August, a 35 percent plurality thought that “coronavirus/diseases” was the most important problem facing the country, 22 percent believed it to be “the government/poor leadership,” and 10 percent named “race relations/racism” as most pressing. With voting set to begin in a few weeks, Trump’s handling of the virus and the broader recession are more important to voters than the specifics of housing policy.
It’s understandable that Trump would want to shift the narrative away from the virus — less than 40 percent of Americans approve of how Trump has handled the pandemic. And it makes sense to target the suburbs. . . . Trump needs votes and he needs them quickly, so he is playing on suburban voters’ basest fears to win back former Republicans and overcome Biden’s strength in cities.
But Trump may discover that, with kids going back to schools and colleges, voters in the suburbs have far too many other fears to worry about the homogeneity of their neighborhoods.
Thoughts on Life, Love, Politics, Hypocrisy and Coming Out in Mid-Life
Saturday, August 22, 2020
Trump’s Openly Racist Suburban Strategy
Trailing in most polls, Donald Trump is desperate to shift attention from his regime's failure to competently handle the Covid-19 pandemic. His solution? Default to one of the GOP's standing ploys: play the race card and try to frighten white suburban women that black and brown Americans are poised to rape and pillage their bastions of white privilege. The ploy is even more extreme than the usual Republican race baiting which have historically used dog whistle messaging rather than outright fear mongering and racism. One can only hope the ploy falls flat and voters remain focused on the disastrous failures of the Trump/Pence regime in addressing the pandemic and continued economic disaster hitting millions of Americans. The millionaire and billionaires in Trump world may be riding high with the soaring stock market, but for average Americans, the reality is far different. A piece in the Washington Post looks at Trump's obscene appeal to suburban voters. Here are excerpts:
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